Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 7.584061e-05 0.000091 0.000108 0.000127 0.000147 0.000170 0.000195
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 5.351958e-05 0.000073 0.000095 0.000122 0.000153 0.000188 0.000230
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.507415e-05 0.000066 0.000092 0.000125 0.000164 0.000209 0.000264
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.583207e-05 0.000058 0.000086 0.000124 0.000170 0.000224 0.000292
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.852068e-05 0.000051 0.000080 0.000120 0.000171 0.000233 0.000311
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.273825e-05 0.000044 0.000075 0.000118 0.000174 0.000244 0.000333
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.872229e-05 0.000040 0.000071 0.000117 0.000178 0.000255 0.000354
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.589110e-05 0.000037 0.000070 0.000119 0.000185 0.000270 0.000381
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.294450e-05 0.000033 0.000066 0.000117 0.000188 0.000279 0.000400
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 9.823882e-06 0.000029 0.000061 0.000113 0.000187 0.000283 0.000413
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 8.345949e-06 0.000027 0.000060 0.000114 0.000193 0.000297 0.000438
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.993301e-06 0.000023 0.000055 0.000109 0.000189 0.000297 0.000446
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.775993e-06 0.000021 0.000054 0.000111 0.000197 0.000314 0.000476
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.171307e-06 0.000018 0.000049 0.000107 0.000196 0.000319 0.000492
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.515237e-06 0.000016 0.000049 0.000109 0.000204 0.000337 0.000524
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.751876e-06 0.000015 0.000047 0.000108 0.000208 0.000348 0.000548
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.039019e-06 0.000012 0.000043 0.000105 0.000207 0.000353 0.000563
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.129928e-07 0.000011 0.000040 0.000103 0.000209 0.000361 0.000583
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.457908e-07 0.000009 0.000039 0.000102 0.000211 0.000371 0.000604
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.144129e-07 0.000008 0.000038 0.000104 0.000218 0.000386 0.000634
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 9.084135e-08 0.000007 0.000036 0.000102 0.000220 0.000394 0.000653
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.700877e-08 0.000006 0.000033 0.000099 0.000217 0.000397 0.000665
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.626158e-09 0.000005 0.000032 0.000100 0.000223 0.000411 0.000693